Predictability of Returns and Cash Flows ∗ Ralph
نویسنده
چکیده
We review the literature on return and cash flow growth predictability form the perspective of the present-value identity. We focus predominantly on recent work. Our emphasis is on U.S. aggregate stock return predictability, but we also discuss evidence from other asset classes and countries. JEL classification: G10, G12, G14, G35.
منابع مشابه
The Effects of Accruals and Cash Flow Anomalies on Net Profit and Abnormal Stock Returns in Accepted Companies in Tehran Securities Exchange
Reliability and efficacy of accruals and cash flows which are among the most important factors affecting dividend deviation have always been in question and subject to anomalies. The presence of these anomalies in accruals and cash flows and its effect on future returns and the consequences that they can have in country’s investments are the main motives to choose this issue for the current stu...
متن کاملDividends, Total Cash Flow to Shareholders, and Predictive Return Regressions
This paper provides new evidence on the predictive power of dividend yields for U.S. aggregate stock returns. Following Miller and Modigliani, we construct a measure of the dividend yield that includes all cash flows to shareholders. We show that this alternative cash-flow yield has strong and stable predictive power for returns, and appears robust to a battery of tests that have been proposed ...
متن کاملDeveloping revised Fama-French Five-Factor models by including dividend rate, cash holdings, and Free cash flow to equity: evidence of Tehran stock exchange
Prediction of stock returns has always been one of the most important issues in finance. Investors have attracted to use of Fama-French Five-Factor Model (FFFFM) as one of the powerful methods for pricing financial assets and predicting the stock returns. This research investigates the predictability of stock returns by including some important firms features namely cash holdings, dividend rate...
متن کاملThe Effects of the Predictive Ability of Accruals and Cash Flows on Earnings Quality: Evidences from TSE
This paper examines the effects of the predictive ability of accruals and cash flows on earnings quality in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). In this study we have used two methods: cross-section and pooled for testing hypothesis. The results show that Sloan model has the strongest ability to predict future earnings, and cash component earnings have more ability than accruals component earnings for ...
متن کاملرابطه بازده با سود و جریانات نقدی قبل و بعد از تجدید ارائه صورت‌های مالی
دراین تحقیق به بررسی رابطه بازده با سود و جریانات نقدی قبل و بعد از تجدید ارائه صورت‌های مالی پرداخته شد. داده‌های جمع آوری شده از صورت‌های مالی 105 شرکت سازمان بورس اوراق بهادار تهران در بازه زمانی1389- 1393، با استفاده از رگرسون تک متغیره و چند متغیره انجام شد. نتایج پژوهش نشانداد،قبل از تجدید ارائه صورت‌های مالی ارتباط مثبت و معناداری بین سود، جریانات نقدی عملیاتی، جریانات نقدیآزاد و اقلام ت...
متن کامل